–submitted by Ellsworth Brown
“Nobody knows who will win,” said Professor Ken Mayer in anticipation of the universal question. Thus, he provided a framework for understanding the current presidential campaign.
Once, United States politics honored democratic systems relying on a public ethos of virtue. This “democratic bargain” honored the winner but has succumbed to a new ecosystem fueled by unlimited and unregulated social mediums, falsehoods, AI, punishment in defeat, loss of regulatory structure, and asymmetric polarization.
The forecasting model, however, depends on stable inputs and outputs, so . . . nobody knows.
If you missed our meeting this week, you can watch it here: https://youtu.be/zemNwK94qj8. We’d also like to thank WisEYE for livestreaming and videotaping our guest speaker this week.
Rotary Club of Madison, Wisconsin 